Pakistan and India two
countries of Southeast Asia who are emerging as nuclear powers have many
disputes among each other on many topics whether it is Kashmir issue or regards
terrorist activities both the countries blame each other for violence in each others
state. The tension among these two countries is not a matter of concern for
Southeast Asia but it will affect the whole world.
India is a peaceful nation
and Indians have shown their respect for peace many times at many places like
DRC (Democratic Republic of Congo) and many other international events in which
India is emerged as the promoter of peace, on the other side Pakistan who
always try to take down India’s reputation and peace keeping operations by
disturbing in passive ways or promoting terrorist activities in India. Almost
all most wanted terrorist of the world can be found in Pakistan but still
Indian government is trying hard to maintain stability in the region by various
diplomatic efforts instead of having a capable military power who can vanish
Pakistan from world map.
Pakistan-India rivalry is world renowned but
the seriousness of the issue increased when a huge increase in nuclear programs
is observed in both the countries which is ultimately complimenting their
nuclear arsenal. Nuclear programs is mainly used to generate electricity but
they can also produce weapon grade plutonium if we kept them on less than their
full power Pakistan have three breeder reactors of Khushab series It bases its assessments on the three operating reactors having
a power of 40-50 megawatts, in which case, operating at 50 percent capacity,
they could each produce 5.7 to 7.1 kilograms of weapon grade plutonium per
year. At 80 percent capacity they could each produce 9 to 11.5 kilograms of
plutonium. Based on these calculations, Pakistan has accumulated about 170
kilograms of plutonium from the Khushab I and Khushab II reactors. It claims
this would suffice for approximately 35-40 warheads of 4 to 5 kilograms of
plutonium per warhead. If Khushab-III
began operating in early 2013, the first batch of its spent fuel could have
been taken out already, cooled and become available to be reprocessed in 2014
or possibly 2015.
Pakistan has a fast-growing arsenal but still pales in
comparison to India’s a number of reports, including from the IPFM that show India “is expanding and adding
several un-safeguarded facilities in its military nuclear fuel cycle suitable
for producing fissile material,” and has the world’s fastest growing nuclear
program.These include the rare materials plant centrifuge facility; a second
plutonium production reactor; and one 500 megawatt electricity experimental
fast breeder reactor. In addition, four reprocessing plants of 350 thm/year
[tons of heavy metal per year] are in operation, an industrial-scale 500
thm/year reprocessing plant and another large industrial scale centrifuge
enrichment plant are in the pipeline along with four additional” fast breeder
reactors by 2020.As of the end of 2013, India’s fissile material stockpiles
include 800-1,000 kilograms of weapon-grade plutonium from CIRUS and Dhruva-1
production reactors; 2 tons of highly enriched uranium [HEU] from RMP; and 15
tons of weapon-usable reactor-grade plutonium from its pressurized heavy water
reactors [PHWRs].The significance of these cannot be underestimated.These
stocks are outside [International Atomic Energy Agency] safeguards and are
sufficient for producing about 250 warheads from weapon-grade plutonium; 40
warheads from HEU; and 1,875 warheads from reactor-grade plutonium, which was
used in one of India’s 1998 nuclear tests.Additional capabilities will be added
within the next three to five years, he said, that could produce another 171
kilograms of weapon-grade plutonium.These figures would add up with existing
capacities and would allow India to produce about 100 warheads from
weapon-grade plutonium and HEU each year in addition to 50 warheads from one PHWR
run on low-burn up.
“Even if a fraction of the other seven PHWRs are used to
produce fuel for India’s fast breeder reactors as claimed, these can still add
another 137 weapons worth of fissile material each year, “Compared to this,
Pakistan’s total existing and expected annual fissile material production
capacity from four Khushab plutonium production reactors is not more than 46
kilograms of weapon-grade plutonium and 100-125 kilograms of weapon-grade HEU,
only sufficient for 17 warheads annually.”
To nuke India is the dream of every Pakistani but this dream
is not gonna be true ever cause India aslo has a clear advantage in nuclear
warfare plus India also have a Ballistic Missile Defence and according to
recent test BMD seems very promising in doing its job. India doesn’t only have
an upper hand in its warheads but Indians also have one of the most versatile
delivering system in the world. India have Brahmos which can carry nuclear
warhead at supersonic speed and currently enjoying the honor of world most
dangerous cruise missile plus India have Nirbhay long range cruise missile which
can deliver its packet upto 1500 kms at subsonic speed and India also have
variety of tested IRBM’s,ICBM and SLBM’s
#predator
No comments:
Post a Comment